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Alexis Sugden
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To what extent will our engineering capabilities define the future?
Written on 30th August 2023
Disclaimer: This is a topic of great interest to me, and consumes part of my time in terms of research and external reading, however it is not something I am a refined expert in, so please read this article with the understanding that what I say it qualitative rather than quantitative. I am open to constructive feedback, so please reach out to me with any corrections/criticisms if you believe I have portrayed an incorrect image of the topic in question.
What is Engineering, and what does it allow us to do?
As I perceive it, engineering is an umbrella term used to describe the diagnosis, recognition and understanding of problems, the solving of these problems by bringing in experts from different fields, and co-ordinating them in a logical way to allow each to hone in on the potential methods for completion. Whether these problems revolve around energy security, food production, healthcare application, climate change, architecture or aerospace, is almost irrelevant from an inside perspective, as the same fundamental engineering principles will be applied from start to finish. These are applied in a framework which I believe is portrayed effectively in "Introduction to Chemical Engineering: Tools for Today and Tomorrow" by Kenneth A. Solen and John N. Harb, where problems are first defined, solutions are evaluated and implemented, then results are checked.
Engineering principles and frameworks allow large problems to be solved, and great advances to be made, which would not have been possible to achieve with messy irregular planning and implementation methods. Engineering requires strong teamwork abilities, and it must be accepted that not every member of a team is an expert at everything, but when this acceptance is accomplished, rapid progression can be made. This is why the sending of a space telescope into orbit can only be achieved by the presence of a large team of highly sophisticated engineers, rather than a group of independents who fail to take advantage of each others' core competencies. Because of this, it seems evident that engineering principles can help to unlock higher level capabilities, theoretically, allowing us to be more ambitious with projects that are aimed at improving humanity, such as creating the conditions required for nuclear fusion in order to provide limitless clean energy, or to create space telescopes that help map out the history of our universe (even if there is some scepticism about whether studying space is actually a valid expenditure of resources for humanity). My brief opinion on this would be, yes, space study is a valid expenditure of resources, because how do we know we're not in cosmological danger, if we don't understand the cosmos?
Anyway, engineering principles allow us to broaden our horizons in terms of what we believe to be possible, which in my eyes is positive, because I don't believe any big projects will become a reality unless there is a spark in the eyes, a dream in someone's head, and an initial level of faith which says it can actually be achieved. If we as a civilisation believe that more advanced achievements are within our capabilities, then more individuals and collectives are likely to attempt to take bigger, and more ambitious challenges on, because engineering principles can highlight a sense of feasibility in an idea, counteracting how preposterous this certain idea may have seemed at first. For example, in 1927, when Georges Lemaître proposed the "Hypotheses of the primeval atom" (The Big Bang), it would likely have seemed preposterous to him that less than a century later, we would create a telescope to capture photo evidence of this phenomena, and even now it seems like a fantasy to many. But with a dream in someone's eyes, the framework of timeproof engineering principles, and precision at the pinnacle of terrestrial capabilities, it came to fruition. However, I am unsure whether the majority of the credit of the JWST should go to the capabilities of the engineers involved, or to the physicists that calculated its possibility! Please enlighten me as to which of these two challenges would have been most demanding!
In a way, I suppose it could be said that engineering capabilities give us a pathway to make dreams come true.
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To what extent then will engineering capabilities define our future?
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Inevitably, our future will look unrecognisably different to what we see in front of us today, but what is also inevitable, is that everything we will see in front of us in the future, will have required a system of methods to create it. Whether it's the intangible floating laptop in front of us that we control using our eyes, or the meal that automatically appears on our plate when our brains imagine it to be there, it will have required engineering principles of some sort, along the way, to create it. So in this sense, it could be said that our engineering capabilities will define the vast majority, if not all, of what we see and do in the future.
However, engineering works on the condition that great scientific discoveries have been made prior. In other words, engineering is the application of science to the real world. So from this perspective, it may be said that engineering capabilities are useless, unless there are scientific discoveries which need to be implemented into our lives, or scientific questions that need to be answered. But what happens if we run out of scientific discoveries to implement? Or we run out of questions to answer? Will engineering then become redundant?
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Firstly, I don't believe it will ever get to the point where we will run out of questions to answer (although let's see what AI says about this), and scientific discoveries, maybe we will run out of things to discover, although this seems so far fetched that probabilistically it won't ever happen, and plus, how will we know we've discovered everything, if we don't know what else there may be to discover. Is it possible quantify this?
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Secondly, let's suppose that we do run out of questions to answer and things to discover. We can be sure that at some point, our existing systems, machines and inventions will experience breakdowns, faults or inconsistencies, which must be fixed, and guess what, engineering principles will once again be put to use in order to solve these problems, therefore meaning it will never become redundant as a vital tool to humanity. So, for as long as we want to keep humanity alive, engineering principles will be in use.
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From a realistic point of view then, it is wild to say that engineering is anything less than crucial to the survival and advancement of modern civilisation. Older civilisations could possibly have done away with such deep constructs, although still to a significant level, they would still have benefitted from this type of framework. In terms of the future though, I think it is fair to say that our engineering capabilities will play one of the most significant roles in what we see and do, purely because of its flexibility and application to every single aspect of life. Other things such as cosmological danger, Artificial Intelligence, climate change, politics, and economics, may play influential roles in what we see at certain timestamps in the future, however, at my current level of understanding of the world around me, I see it as unlikely that any of these factors will define the path of modern civilisation more than our engineering capabilities will.
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